2024 U.S. Senate Elections
The U.S. Senate leans Republican
SAFE D LIKELY D LEANS D TOSSUP LEANS R LIKELY R SAFE R
CA: OPEN PA: Casey MI: OPEN AZ: Sinema "I" WV: Manchin FLIP TX: Cruz FL: Scott
CT: Blumenthal VA: Kaine NV: Rosen MT: Tester IN: OPEN
DE: Carper WI: Baldwin OH: Brown MS: Wicker
HI: Hirono MO: Hawley
ME: King "I" NE: Fischer
MA: Warren NE: Ricketts
MN: Klobachar ND: Cramer
NJ: Menendez TN: Blackburn
RI: Whitehouse UT: Romney
WA: Cantwell WY: Barrasso
VT: Sanders "I"
January 1, 2023 Update: While Democrats lucked out in the midterm, gaining a U.S. Senate seat, their outlook in 2024 looks far more grim. Democrats are defending three U.S. Senate seats in states Donald Trump carried in 2020. In West Virginia, a state Trump won by 41.2%, Joe Manchin starts as the underdog an uphill battle for re-election. In Montana, a state that went to Trump by 16.4%, Democrat Jon Tester appears 50/50 in the state, as does Democrat Sherrod Brown, who faces challenge in Ohio, a state Trump won by 8.3%. Those aren't the only woes for Democrats. Nevada, a state Joe Biden carried by just 2.3% remains a key target for Republicans. Arizona, a state Biden carried by less than a point is more competitive as Krysten Sinema becoming an Independant has complicated the race.